在线国产一区二区_成人黄色片在线观看_国产成人免费_日韩精品免费在线视频_亚洲精品美女久久_欧美一级免费在线观看

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Video

Trade conflict won't 'disturb' reform pace

By Chen Jia | China Daily | Updated: 2019-06-04 19:15
Share
Share - WeChat

Trade pressure will not disturb China's pace in deepening market-oriented reforms, upgrading manufacturing or improving technology-intensive production, according to a Chinese senior economist.

"No matter what happens, we will improve our market institutions, complete the transition to a well-functioning market economy and further open up," said Justin Yifu Lin, dean of the Institute of New Structural Economics and honorary dean of the National School of Development at Peking University. Lin spoke in a recent exclusive interview with China Daily. "It is good for China, and it is good for the rest of the world."

He predicted that the impact of trade disputes on China's growth will be around 0.5 percentage point, more optimistic than the International Monetary Fund's prediction of a 0.5 to 1.5 percentage point decrease in China's GDP growth rate.

Facing an escalation of trade conflicts with the United States, the world's second-largest economy will take counter-cyclical measures to offset impacts, but the adjustment will be minor, according to Lin, who previously was the chief economist at the World Bank.

"I do not expect major changes in overall policy direction, even if the US imposes 25 percent tariffs on all China's exports."

China can continue to reduce some income taxes and deepen business regulation reform to make business operations simpler and easier. That would reduce costs for corporations and offset the tariffs' negative effects, he said.

Conflicts between the world's two largest economies now have spread from trade to technology. The US recently announced it would cut off wireless-equipment provider Huawei Technologies from its US suppliers.

"If there is a kind of trade war, we will have to produce important products that we cannot import from abroad. The US is not the only source, and other countries may also be able to supply most of the goods," Lin said, pointing to Huawei as an example. China's economic cooperation with the rest of the world will not change, he added.

China has competitive advantages in many high-tech products, a significant portion of which are developed and produced by the nation's profit-oriented private sector on a competitive market basis, Lin said.

Chinese producers also have accumulated resources including technological research and human capital, consolidating their competitive advantages in high-tech manufacturing, according to Lin.

The IMF warned that recent and additional possible tariffs could reduce global GDP by about 0.3 percentage point in the short term, with half of the effect from damage to businesses and market confidence.

The IMF found that some of the additional tariffs have been passed on to US consumers, while others have been absorbed by importing firms through lower profit margins.

A further escalation in trade tensions could pose further downside risks to China's growth outlook, but a stronger policy response is likely to offset the risks, according to Fitch Ratings.

"The current policy mix has been quite distinct from prior easing episodes," said Andrew Fennell, director and lead analyst for China sovereign ratings at Fitch.

Fiscal policy is taking more of an active role, with Fitch's estimate of China's consolidated fiscal deficit rising substantially this year to nearly 6 percent of GDP. Quasi-fiscal activity, including infrastructure spending, has been more muted than in the past, he said.

The global rating agency also noted that the current easing cycle has featured no cuts to China's benchmark interest rates, reflecting the authorities' desire to avoid sending too strong a "stimulus signal", given the prior policy focus on deleveraging.

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
CLOSE
 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 国产黄色免费网站 | 国产成人综合一区二区三区 | 色呦呦入口 | 午夜激情免费在线观看 | 毛片网站免费观看 | 亚洲日本久久 | 999精品视频 | 精品亚洲一区二区三区 | 国产精品久久免费看 | 一区二区影院 | 日本性视频 | 久久伊人影院 | 久久精品一区二区三区四区 | 亚洲黄色免费观看 | 毛片免费观看视频 | 精品久久久久久久久久久久 | 91超视频 | 欧美自拍一区 | 91精品在线看 | 午夜视频一区二区三区 | av大片在线观看 | 国产精品成人久久久久 | 免费观看h视频 | 嫩草成人影院 | 欧美三级在线视频 | 欧美一级二级视频 | 二区视频 | 三级毛片在线 | 午夜精品久久久久99蜜 | 日韩欧美综合在线 | 999视频在线免费观看 | 一级毛片在线播放 | 91偷拍精品一区二区三区 | 丝袜久久| 欧美一区二区三区精品 | 亚洲精品一区二三区不卡 | 久久一视频 | 久久夜夜爽 | 久久九九免费 | 国产高清免费视频 | 中文字幕色站 |