在线国产一区二区_成人黄色片在线观看_国产成人免费_日韩精品免费在线视频_亚洲精品美女久久_欧美一级免费在线观看

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Finance

Stability still watchword for policymakers in H2

By Chen Jia | China Daily | Updated: 2019-07-10 09:47
Share
Share - WeChat
A cashier at a bank in Taiyuan, Shanxi province, counts renminbi notes. [Photo/China News Service]

Moves can be expected from the Chinese monetary authority, if the upcoming economic data disappoint the market, as analysts said economic stability remains the policymakers' priority in the second half of this year.

Major economic indicators will be published over the next week, including second quarter GDP, industrial output and fixed-asset investment growth. Some economists predicted a slightly moderate growth in the April-to-June period, compared with 6.4 percent in the first three months.

In face of even more uncertainties related to US-China trade tensions, once the first half economic report slips off the policymakers' expected zone, a series of policies, especially in terms of monetary and fiscal policies, will debut later this month to stabilize growth and ease market sentiment, analysts said.

"Currently, the priority target of monetary policy is to curb further slowing in the growth of the economy," said Yu Yongding, a senior economist at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

"For the next step, China's monetary and fiscal policy needs to remain loose. Monetary easing is to lower interest rates and to coordinate with treasury bond issuance by the Ministry of Finance. The bonds will raise money for infrastructure construction, a major driving force of economic growth," said Yu.

The People's Bank of China, the central bank, will probably encourage bank lending to the small and private sector in the second half, coupled with targeted easing measures, such as reserve requirement ratio cuts and targeted Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF). The targeted easing aims to keep lower financing costs, according to economists.

The PBOC paused cash injections via reverse repo for 12 consecutive days as of Tuesday, as the current banking liquidity is at "a relatively high level", said a statement on the bank's website.

The overnight repo rate, a rate to show the interbank borrowing costs, declined to a historically low level on July 2, to 0.7 percent, compared with the 10-year bottom of 0.72 percent in July, 2009, according to data from the Wind Info. The borrowing costs usually increase when liquidity is tight.

Although the current ample liquidity gives the central bank a break, the interest rate cut still stands at the top of the PBOC's policy list, especially if the worst-case scenario happens or the US imposes more tariffs on $300 billion of Chinese goods, said Qu Hongbin, an economist with HSBC.

If Sino-US trade tensions escalate, the Chinese authorities can respond to the more pronounced negative economic impact by providing policy support, said a research note from Moody's Investors Service.

The PBOC is considering kicking off reform of the existing interest rate regime. The possible step is to replace the one-year benchmark leading rate with a more sensitive and market-driven rate. Experts expect the loan prime rate, or LPR, may become the next benchmark.

LPR is the lending rate offered by 10 major commercial banks to their most favorable customers. Currently, the National Interbank Funding Center publishes LPR of one-year maturity. The average LPR in July was 4.31 percent by Tuesday, compared with the one-year benchmark lending rate at 4.35 percent.

Moody's affirmed a "stable" outlook of China's economy last week, maintaining the "A1" rating. From Moody's projection, the leveraging level may continually rise, although at a moderate pace, as policy emphasis tends to shift between deleveraging and support to growth over the medium term. The public sector debt is likely to rise towards 160 percent of GDP in 2025 from 137 percent in 2018.

Policymakers may have less room for policy stimulus, due to a rapid accumulation of debt, falling return on investment and falling current account surplus. Inflation is not a big concern despite surging pork prices, said Lu Ting, chief economist in China with Nomura Securities.

"Domestic policies will, to a large extent, be dependent on the China-US trade tensions," he added.

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
CLOSE
 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 日韩理伦在线 | 欧美在线一区二区三区 | 韩国三级中文字幕hd爱的色放 | 免费观看日韩av | 日本免费三片免费观看 | 日韩电影三级 | 精品久久久久久久久久久久久久 | 二区视频 | 国产欧美精品一区二区色综合 | 九九99久久| 欧美色爽 | 夜夜高潮| 欧美第8页 | 久久久久久久一区 | 色呦呦一区 | 国产一区二区在线播放 | 中文字幕亚洲欧美日韩在线不卡 | 国产成人免费在线 | 女女百合高h喷汁呻吟视频 女女野外嗯啊高潮h百合扶她 | 国产污视频在线 | 精品91在线| 欧美一级做a爰片免费视频 在线不卡日韩 | 精品成人佐山爱一区二区 | 久久久久久精 | 久久亚洲国产精品日日av夜夜 | 成人在线免费观看 | 毛片在线视频 | 中文字幕在线看 | 亚洲国产高清视频 | 国产伦理精品一区二区三区观看体验 | 亚洲成人黄色 | 在线成人av | 亚洲黄色小视频 | 中文字幕在线乱码不卡二区区 | 中文字幕av一区 | av一区二区三区 | 欧美国产日韩精品 | 日韩欧美视频一区二区三区 | 精品久久久久久久久久久久久久 | 黄色av网页 | 亚洲大片在线播放 |