在线国产一区二区_成人黄色片在线观看_国产成人免费_日韩精品免费在线视频_亚洲精品美女久久_欧美一级免费在线观看

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Finance

Flexible H2 money policy foreseen

Despite weaker-than-expected Q2 data, hopes rise for cuts to rates, RRR

By ZHOU LANXU | CHINA DAILY | Updated: 2024-07-16 09:15
Share
Share - WeChat
A woman shows banknotes and coins included in the 2019 edition of the fifth series of the renminbi. [Photo/Xinhua]

China's monetary policy is likely to stay accommodative in the second half of the year as the latest economic and financial indicators point to the need for further policy support while growing expectations of US interest rate cuts create more room for easing, market analysts said on Monday.

They said there is quite a strong possibility of cuts to both loan interest rates and the reserve requirement ratio — the amount of deposits that banks must keep as reserve — in the rest of the year.

On Monday, China unveiled its first-half economic growth figure of 5 percent year-on-year, in line with the country's GDP growth target for the full year. However, the country's second-quarter GDP growth slowed to 4.7 percent, lower than expectations and down from 5.3 percent in the first quarter.

Financial data also pointed to tepid credit demand. The increment in aggregate social financing — the total amount of financing to the real economy — stood at 18.1 trillion yuan ($2.49 trillion) in the first half, down by 3.45 trillion yuan compared with the same period last year, the People's Bank of China, the country's central bank, said on Friday.

"The issue of insufficient domestic demand turned prominent in the second quarter, as residential consumption and private investment performed anemically amid a continuous adjustment of the real estate sector," said Wang Qing, chief macroeconomic analyst at Golden Credit Rating International.

"With that, policymakers are expected to intensify growth stabilization efforts in the second half, and there is room for cuts to both interest rates and the RRR," Wang said.

An improving external policy environment may also gradually expand the scope for cutting the policy benchmarks of interest rates, especially the rate of seven-day reverse repos (currently at 1.8 percent), said Ming Ming, chief economist at CITIC Securities.

The PBOC kept a policy benchmark of interest rates — the one-year medium-term lending facility rate — unchanged at 2.5 percent on Monday. This followed the offshore renminbi plumbing the 7.31 mark against the US dollar earlier this month as delayed US interest rate cuts kept the greenback strong.

The expectation of the US Federal Reserve cutting interest rates within the year has grown stronger after the US consumer price index for June increased slower than expected, Ming said. "The possibility of a reduction in loan prime rates deserves attention against this backdrop."

The loan prime rates are China's market-based lending rate benchmarks.

The one-year LPR has stayed unchanged since August at 3.45 percent and the over-five-year LPR stood at 3.95 percent for five consecutive months as of June.

The PBOC vowed at a meeting late last month that it will unleash the effectiveness of the LPR system and a market-based mechanism of deposit rate adjustments to reduce financing costs for enterprises and households, as part of its efforts to focus more on easing cyclical downward economic pressures.

Lou Feipeng, a researcher at Postal Savings Bank of China, said factors that have kept the PBOC from cutting interest rates this year include commercial banks' low net interest margin, a strong US dollar and the central bank's intention to keep long-term government bond yields from dropping too fast.

"As some of the constraints abate, the possibility of cutting the interest rates and the RRR in the third quarter is rising," Lou said.

Lou further said that if the PBOC implements an interest rate cut, it can reduce the RRR at the same time to provide long-term low-cost funding to commercial banks, which will help ease their pressures of narrowing net interest rate margins — the difference between the interest income they earn and interest they pay.

Meanwhile, the new tool of overnight repos, which withdraws short-term liquidity from the banking system, can be used simultaneously to prevent an excessive supply of liquidity, he said.

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
CLOSE
 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 在线观看成人高清 | 高清国产一区二区三区四区五区 | 日本三级在线观看中文字 | 久久久精品日本 | 日本理论片好看理论片 | 免费在线a | av影院在线 | 99re视频在线 | 91亚洲国产成人久久精品网站 | 中文字幕亚洲一区二区三区 | 日批视频免费观看 | 久久av影院 | 欧美日韩在线一区 | 麻豆国产一区二区三区四区 | 日本精品在线播放 | 亚洲一区二区三区在线免费观看 | 中文字幕av一区二区 | 日本精品一区二区在线观看 | 99精品久久久久久久另类 | 亚洲伊人久久网 | 中文字幕亚洲欧美精品一区四区 | 亚洲国产1区| 成人免费看黄 | 久久久精品 | 欧美一区久久 | 国产精品视频一区二区噜噜 | 91精品国产色综合久久不卡蜜臀 | 久久综合社区 | 第一福利丝瓜av导航 | 国产一区二区三区在线视频 | 综合激情久久 | 欧美日韩精品一区二区三区蜜桃 | 国产亚洲欧美一区二区三区 | 在线观看视频一区二区 | 中文字幕一区二区在线观看 | 亚洲一区二区三区中文字幕 | 国产精品视频免费 | 亚洲免费观看视频 | 亚洲激情网站 | 日韩欧美国产精品 | 久久亚洲国产精品日日av夜夜 |